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10등까지만 본문에 붙입니다. (참고로 11위가 커쇼...)
1. Aaron Judge, RF
Age: 31 | Former Team: Yankees | Prediction: Yankees
Did you expect anybody else? Judge’s bet on himself is about to pay out massively, whether he re-signs with the Yankees or lands elsewhere. The gap between Judge and every other hitter in the league is massive, with the Yankees slugger posting the highest wRC+ (207) of anybody in the past 50 years not named Barry Bonds. Though he spent more time in center field in ’22, Judge will likely call right field his home long term—but that won’t stop record-breaking offers coming in following one of the best seasons ever.
2. Trea Turner, SS
Age: 30 | Former Team: Dodgers | Prediction: Cubs
Take it from Jon Hamm—Turner is a superstar. Deciding who’s the best of the bunch from this year’s A-list shortstops is a tall task, but Turner ekes out the field by a nose. After battling various injuries through his first few years in the league, Turner has been durable, missing just 57 games over the past five seasons. No shortstop has posted a higher fWAR than Turner (20.0) since 2019, and he ranks in the top three in wRC+ (133), on-base percentage (.361), slugging percentage (.509) and stolen bases (106).
3. Carlos Correa, SS
Age: 28 | Former Team: Twins | Prediction: Orioles
Correa is back on the market after one year and $35.1 million earned in Minnesota. He was once again an all-around force at the plate and received plaudits from Twins teammates for his leadership skills amid the club’s bounce back to playoff contention (or its attempt at such, even if it ultimately collapsed in September). He’s at No. 3 after topping our list last year because of a fairly drastic drop-off on defense—one that could indicate his eventual move to third base will come sooner than expected and sap some of his value.
4. Dansby Swanson, SS
Age: 29 | Former Team: Braves | Prediction: Dodgers
Swanson morphed into MLB’s best defensive shortstop this year to more than double his career-high WAR total and earn his first All-Star nod. But his bat is still a cut or two below the shortstops above him (in large part due to his penchant for strikeouts), which will likely cause him to get a slightly smaller contract in terms of average annual value.
5. Xander Bogaerts, SS
Age: 30 | Former Team: Red Sox | Prediction: Braves
The oldest of the Big Four shortstops, Bogaerts has been a model of durable consistency across his mid to late 20s. He’s missed only 67 games over the past five seasons, never posting a wRC+ worse than 129. Depending on your preferred flavor of defensive analytics, Bogaerts is either above average or just fine at one of the game’s most demanding positions, so he should be able to stick there for the foreseeable future. There is some slight concern with his diminishing power numbers, which could translate into Bogaerts becoming merely a good hitter rather than one of the five best at his position.
6. Jacob deGrom, SP
Age: 35 | Former Team: Mets | Prediction: Mets
When he’s on the mound, he’s indisputably one of the best pitchers on the planet. But he’s made only 26 starts over the last two seasons, and he was great but not quite as great this season as he was in an abbreviated ‘21. Still, even though he’ll turn 35 in June, expect deGrom to command a contract in the realm of the three-year, $130 million deal that Max Scherzer got from the Mets a year ago.
7. Carlos Rodón, SP
Age: 30 | Former Team: Giants | Prediction: Cardinals
Rodón reenters free agency for the second straight year as an All-Star and top-five Cy Young vote recipient—and this time, he comes without the late-season elbow soreness that limited his price tag last winter (though that led him to bet on himself, which worked). He was MLB’s second-most valuable pitcher this year by fWAR (6.2) after leading the majors with 12 strikeouts per 9 IP and a 2.25 FIP. Expect the former No. 1 pick to draw the largest contract of any free-agent pitcher this year, especially given the injury risks associated with his older peers.
8. Willson Contreras, C
Age: 31 | Former Team: Cubs | Prediction: Guardians
Contreras has been among MLB’s best hitting catchers since he entered the league, leading his position with a 116 wRC+ among the 24 backstops (active or otherwise) with at least 1,500 plate appearances since his rookie year in 2016. In fact, he hasn’t ranked as a below-average hitter by wRC+ in any of his seven seasons. It’s unclear how long his next team would want him to stick behind the plate, though, as his strong control of the run game is more than negated by his below-average pitch framing. Even so, he’s far and away the best catcher available, and his bat is good enough to play as a DH as he ages into his 30s.
9. Justin Verlander, SP
Age: 40 | Former Team: Astros | Prediction: Astros
Verlander is the heavy favorite to win his third Cy Young Award after leading the majors in ERA (1.75) and WHIP (0.83). He’ll probably seek to surpass Max Scherzer’s record annual average value of $43.3 million on a short-term deal—and it’d be a surprise if that happens anywhere else besides Houston after finally notching his first World Series win (the Astros’ second title during his tenure there).
Get SI’s Houston Astros World Series Commemorative Issue here.
10. Brandon Nimmo, CF
Age: 30 | Former Team: Mets | Prediction: Giants
There aren’t many viable options for starting-caliber center fielders in this free-agency class, which means the underrated Nimmo should be in high demand. Since 2018, Nimmo’s wRC+ (138) and on-base percentage (.388) rank second among all center fielders, trailing only some guy named Mike Trout. He’s above average defensively, but availability is really the biggest question mark: Nimmo was healthy all season in ’22, marking the first time since ’18 that he played in more than 100 games. | 
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